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Red55
999114.9
958710.4
453726.6
Blue58
999815.8
91468.6
477437.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557201001502005558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
27Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
55Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.5
29.629.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
blue by 10.5
4774
#10
37.10.6
34.033.4
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
9991
#18
14.90.8
15.314.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5
blue by 0.9
9998
#24
15.80.9
17.216.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
Third
9587
#26
10.40.5
11.911.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
red by 1.8
9146
#22
8.60.6
16.415.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned