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Red84
649730.6
999314.7
999524.7
Blue79
564817.6
712825.2
999419.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69640501001502002503008479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
84Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.7
24.224.9
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 5.4
7128
#17
25.20.6
21.221.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Second
24.70.9
25.125.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
red by 5.6
9994
#14
19.10.8
17.318.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
9993
#23
14.70.9
13.714.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
blue by 2.9
5648
#20
17.60.6
19.319.9
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned