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Red29
999815.8
958710.4
587613.7
Blue63
564817.6
999619.7
918923.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37700501001502002963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
14Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points2
29Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9998
#24
15.80.6
14.313.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 7.8
9189
#11
23.60.1
22.422.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
Second
5876
#21
13.70.6
12.712.1
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
blue by 6.0
19.70.1
18.118.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Third
9587
#26
10.40.6
10.39.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 7.2
5648
#20
17.60.1
18.718.8
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed