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Red42
997412.6
999314.7
997630.1
Blue30
91468.6
699642.8
558456.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5513601001502004230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
24Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
42Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.11.2
27.826.6
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
blue by 26.2
56.26.2
58.151.9
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
Second
9993
#23
14.71.2
14.613.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
blue by 28.1
6996
#13
42.86.2
45.939.6
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Third
9974
#25
12.61.2
12.911.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
red by 4.0
9146
#22
8.66.2
14.88.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed