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Red68
1055210.8
998626.9
453726.6
Blue60
999214.3
914723.3
999419.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions955401502006860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
34Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
8Foul points4
68Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.8
27.626.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
red by 3.5
23.30.1
20.921.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Second
26.60.7
28.728.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 7.5
9994
#14
19.10.1
18.018.2
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
10.80.7
11.610.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 3.5
9992
#19
14.30.1
12.212.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned