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Red119
649730.6
587613.7
1000239.0
Blue64
477437.1
453726.6
997412.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759105015020025011964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
74Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
20Foul points0
119Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.01.5
36.137.6
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
red by 1.8
4774
#10
37.11.1
39.638.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
30.61.5
27.729.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 4.0
26.61.1
29.027.9
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Third
5876
#21
13.71.5
13.214.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
red by 1.2
9974
#25
12.61.1
11.810.7
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed