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Red127
651053.5
558456.2
999815.8
Blue67
712825.2
918923.6
564817.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13458010015020025012767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave6
8Coral scored#1
38Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
69Total teleop46
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points8
127Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.1
54.354.4
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 31.1
7128
#17
25.20.1
24.824.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Second
53.50.1
51.651.7
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 30.0
9189
#11
23.60.1
23.223.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
Third
9998
#24
15.80.1
15.715.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.8
End3.4
blue by 1.8
5648
#20
17.60.1
17.317.2
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0