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Red111
558456.2
997412.6
564817.6
Blue68
999214.3
477437.1
712825.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9455015011168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+43Teleop
+45Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points42
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
85Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points2
111Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.22.4
58.160.5
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 19.1
4774
#10
37.10.6
30.230.8
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
5648
#20
17.62.4
12.214.6
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 7.5
7128
#17
25.20.6
19.920.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Third
9974
#25
12.63.9
5.49.3
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9992
#19
14.31.0
7.18.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed