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Red145
651053.5
558456.2
997412.6
Blue98
649730.6
999214.3
1000239.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317705010015020014598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points45
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
24Processor points6
16Net points4
40Algae points10
97Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points8
145Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.5
54.855.3
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 17.3
39.00.2
38.338.4
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
Second
53.50.5
52.152.6
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 22.9
30.60.2
29.930.1
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Third
9974
#25
12.60.5
11.211.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9992
#19
14.30.2
13.613.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3