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Red109
997630.1
699642.8
999314.7
Blue66
477437.1
453726.6
999419.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029740608012014016010966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+47Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +44
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
68Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
109Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#13
42.80.4
42.542.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 5.7
4774
#10
37.10.4
37.537.1
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
30.10.4
29.730.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 3.5
26.60.4
27.026.6
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Third
9993
#23
14.70.4
14.414.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
blue by 4.4
9994
#14
19.10.4
19.519.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3