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Red118
649730.6
999214.3
1000239.0
Blue97
997630.1
699642.8
999314.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910005015020025011897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
22Coral points12
22Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +12
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
88Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points2
118Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.6
38.439.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
blue by 3.9
6996
#13
42.80.0
42.942.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Second
30.60.6
30.130.7
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 0.5
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Third
9992
#19
14.30.6
13.814.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 0.4
9993
#23
14.70.0
14.814.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6