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Red99
649730.6
958710.4
1000239.0
Blue27
1055210.8
587613.7
999619.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864501001502009927

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+62Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
11Coral scored#3
41Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
69Total teleop14
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
99Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.5
37.638.1
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
red by 19.3
19.70.4
20.620.1
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Second
30.60.5
29.229.7
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 16.9
5876
#21
13.70.4
14.614.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
Third
9587
#26
10.40.5
9.910.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 0.3
10.80.4
11.611.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3