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Red110
699642.8
997630.1
999314.7
Blue48
472915.9
998626.9
999114.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987105015020011048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+52Teleop
+66Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#8
48Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
66Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +62
2Foul points6
110Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6996
#13
42.80.5
41.642.1
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
red by 15.9
26.90.4
27.026.6
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
Second
30.10.5
28.929.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
red by 14.1
4729
#15
15.90.4
16.015.6
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Third
9993
#23
14.70.5
13.514.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6
blue by 0.1
9991
#18
14.90.4
14.914.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5