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Red91
712825.2
918923.6
564817.6
Blue64
91468.6
914723.3
999524.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706002040801001201409164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
57Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
91Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7128
#17
25.20.4
24.725.1
Auto4.2
Teleop13.1
End7.9
red by 0.4
24.70.2
24.624.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.7
End6.3
Second
9189
#11
23.60.4
23.123.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
red by 0.2
23.30.2
23.223.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Third
5648
#20
17.60.4
17.217.6
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
red by 9.0
9146
#22
8.60.2
8.48.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End2.5