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Red26
999619.7
587613.7
1055210.8
Blue72
472915.9
998626.9
999114.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437201001502672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+50
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points4
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +49
2Coral scored#10
6Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
10Total teleop59
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
26Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.4
20.119.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 7.2
26.90.3
26.626.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
Second
5876
#21
13.70.4
14.213.7
Auto1.9
Teleop8.3
End3.6
blue by 2.2
4729
#15
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Third
10.80.4
11.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
blue by 4.1
9991
#18
14.90.3
14.514.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5