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Red149
651053.5
558456.2
997412.6
Blue77
477437.1
453726.6
999419.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1348905010015020025014977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave3
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points6
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
6Processor points6
24Net points4
30Algae points10
75Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +72
14Foul points12
149Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.4
54.454.8
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 19.1
4774
#10
37.10.5
38.237.7
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
53.50.4
51.752.1
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 26.9
26.60.5
27.627.2
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Third
9974
#25
12.60.4
10.711.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 6.5
9994
#14
19.10.5
20.219.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3