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Red98
649730.6
999214.3
1000239.0
Blue79
699642.8
997630.1
999314.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89990501502009879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
22Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#11
48Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
64Total teleop48
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +19
8Foul points6
98Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.2
38.138.3
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
blue by 3.9
6996
#13
42.80.3
42.141.8
Auto8.5
Teleop27.7
End6.7
Second
30.60.2
29.729.9
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 0.5
30.10.3
29.329.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.8
End4.0
Third
9992
#19
14.30.2
13.413.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
blue by 0.4
9993
#23
14.70.3
14.013.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.7
End0.6