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Red82
477437.1
453726.6
999419.1
Blue61
472915.9
998626.9
999114.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97690501502008261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+13
+19Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
28Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#13
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points4
82Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#10
37.10.2
37.737.5
Auto4.4
Teleop26.1
End6.6
red by 10.2
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
Second
26.60.2
27.227.0
Auto5.6
Teleop12.3
End8.8
red by 10.7
4729
#15
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto3.4
Teleop12.2
End0.3
Third
9994
#14
19.10.2
19.719.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End7.3
red by 4.3
9991
#18
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.1
End3.5