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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125131050100150200250300195160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points70
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
135Total teleop104
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#7
8L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
195Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.6
59.961.5
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 3.6
59.30.9
57.358.2
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
54.62.0
50.952.8
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 11.3
8810
#12
43.40.9
41.442.3
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
6433
#20
14.61.6
11.513.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 7.7
9994
#23
22.31.1
19.821.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2