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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130133050100150200250300199177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+34Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +20
29Coral scored#22
106Coral points80
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
138Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#8
5L2#4
9L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
199Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.5
61.563.0
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 3.6
59.31.1
58.259.3
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
54.61.8
52.854.6
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 11.3
8810
#12
43.41.1
42.343.4
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
6433
#20
14.61.5
13.114.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 7.7
9994
#23
22.31.3
21.022.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2