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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123110608010014016011067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
72Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#2
3L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points0
110Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.2
60.960.7
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
red by 3.0
56.12.0
53.251.2
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Second
42.80.2
42.141.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
red by 13.1
9635
#19
29.72.0
33.231.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Third
6433
#20
14.60.2
4.13.9
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 2.5
7002
#26
12.12.2
10.78.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed