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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145108050200250131137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
16Coral scored#23
56Coral points84
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
80Total teleop114
Reef
8L4#10
4L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points0
131Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.2
58.358.1
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 3.6
59.32.4
47.349.7
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
55.50.2
53.653.4
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
red by 9.9
6766
#10
45.72.4
31.734.1
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
Third
6494
#24
19.40.2
9.79.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
blue by 24.0
8810
#12
43.42.9
22.125.0
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned