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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12251010015020013272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +53
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
95Total teleop42
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
132Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.62.2
22.825.0
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 18.6
9992
#17
36.11.5
23.424.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Second
6940
#16
47.41.3
54.856.2
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
red by 17.4
5515
#15
30.00.9
21.322.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
Third
8011
#13
41.21.3
31.332.7
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
red by 19.9
8015
#21
21.30.9
13.714.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned