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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12190501001502009349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+28Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
10Coral scored#4
37Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
57Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
18Foul points2
93Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.72.4
62.660.2
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
red by 8.6
56.12.4
55.653.2
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Second
9635
#19
29.72.4
35.533.2
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
red by 7.3
9994
#23
22.34.0
16.512.6
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
Third
9991
#11
13.94.0
12.78.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
blue by 2.2
7047
#22
16.12.6
10.67.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned