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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331290501001502004194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +37
6Coral scored#15
21Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
2Foul points2
41Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#15
30.00.4
21.721.3
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
blue by 25.6
55.51.1
54.753.5
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Second
6494
#24
19.40.6
8.57.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
blue by 23.4
42.81.1
43.442.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Third
7002
#26
12.10.6
15.214.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 4.0
7047
#22
16.11.6
10.79.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed