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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103159502002504988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
22Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
49Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.03.3
60.757.4
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
blue by 1.7
64.73.8
62.859.1
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
8015
#21
21.33.3
24.821.5
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
blue by 26.1
6940
#16
47.43.8
60.156.3
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
Third
13.04.8
13.38.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 4.3
5849
#18
17.35.0
19.814.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed