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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52104015020025076209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+111
Endgame+121
Fouls+133
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave0
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points44
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +73
8Coral scored#26
30Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
54Total teleop127
Reef
4L4#15
2L3#8
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +133
2Foul points14
76Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6766
#10
45.71.0
33.434.4
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
blue by 16.8
62.56.9
56.062.9
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
Second
9994
#23
22.31.7
14.115.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
blue by 21.1
8810
#12
43.410.8
12.122.9
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
6433
#20
14.61.4
3.34.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 21.5
9992
#17
36.111.6
14.125.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned