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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301160200300400500110134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
40Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +42
11Coral scored#19
40Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
54Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
110Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.7
56.956.2
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
blue by 0.7
56.81.1
49.650.7
Auto11.6
Teleop38.5
End6.7
Second
42.80.7
42.341.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
blue by 12.8
55.51.1
53.554.7
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Third
5515
#15
30.00.7
21.320.6
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
red by 16.1
9991
#11
13.91.9
14.115.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned