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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62145050100200250100117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
65Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
8Foul points2
100Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6766
#10
45.71.6
38.640.2
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
blue by 13.5
59.10.6
61.761.2
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
8015
#21
21.31.6
18.820.4
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
blue by 19.9
8011
#13
41.20.6
33.332.7
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
Third
7047
#22
16.11.6
10.311.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 13.9
5515
#15
30.00.6
28.528.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed