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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75171050100150200250300136158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+30
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave0
5Coral scored#9
23Coral points47
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
99Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#13
6L3#5
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#36
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
136Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8810
#12
43.42.9
33.236.2
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
blue by 21.3
64.70.2
61.160.9
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
8011
#13
41.22.9
35.738.6
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
blue by 21.2
62.50.2
63.363.2
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
Third
7047
#22
16.12.9
11.814.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 13.9
5515
#15
30.00.2
26.926.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed