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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948540608010012014013897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points14
17Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#1
12Processor points12
24Net points4
36Algae points16
101Total teleop60
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
138Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.63.1
39.742.8
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
blue by 0.9
55.50.6
52.953.4
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Second
6766
#10
45.72.0
39.641.6
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
red by 28.3
5849
#18
17.30.6
16.216.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
13.02.0
11.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 1.6
6433
#20
14.60.6
8.08.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned