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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971355015020035148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+105
Endgame+113
Fouls+113
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +87
2Coral scored#16
6Coral points59
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
0Processor points18
4Net points20
4Algae points38
10Total teleop97
Reef
2L4#6
1L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
6Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +113
0Foul points0
35Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6940
#16
47.43.7
53.049.3
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
blue by 15.6
63.02.0
57.959.9
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
Second
9994
#23
22.35.8
17.111.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
blue by 34.5
56.82.0
49.251.2
Auto11.6
Teleop38.5
End6.7
Third
8015
#21
21.33.7
20.416.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
red by 9.2
7002
#26
12.12.0
11.513.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned