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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13115850100200250132140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
17Coral scored#20
60Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
74Total teleop96
Reef
5L4#9
9L3#8
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
20Foul points0
132Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.10.9
60.059.1
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
blue by 5.6
64.70.2
64.163.9
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
9992
#17
36.11.2
34.933.7
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
blue by 7.3
8810
#12
43.40.2
36.636.3
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
9635
#19
29.70.9
30.229.3
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
blue by 13.1
42.80.2
43.042.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned