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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12343010015020015436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+112Teleop
+112Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +98
20Coral scored#2
72Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
104Total teleop6
Reef
11L4#1
6L3#1
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
6Foul points0
154Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#7DQ
62.52.9
60.463.3
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
red by 32.5
5515
#15
30.01.1
28.026.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
Second
8011
#13
41.22.9
32.735.7
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
red by 26.6
6433
#20
14.61.1
9.18.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
6494
#24
19.42.9
11.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
red by 5.5
9991
#11
13.91.7
15.213.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned