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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1287605010015020025012291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+29Teleop
+27Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
80Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
8Foul points4
122Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.6
54.253.7
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
blue by 3.2
59.30.0
53.053.0
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
6766
#10
45.70.6
40.239.6
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
red by 29.6
7047
#22
16.10.0
11.911.8
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Third
5849
#18
17.30.6
16.816.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 5.2
7002
#26DQ
12.10.0
11.511.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed