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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11114505020025042108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+66
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +55
3Coral scored#13
11Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
15Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
42Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.54.0
56.952.9
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
blue by 7.4
63.01.7
59.757.9
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
Second
9635
#19
29.74.0
30.026.0
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
blue by 13.1
10541
#4DQ
42.81.7
44.242.5
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Third
13.04.0
15.711.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 23.1
9992
#17
36.12.9
29.927.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed