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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611550100150200142104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
88Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#4
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
142Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.30.5
53.053.5
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
red by 11.9
6940
#16
47.41.1
49.348.2
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
Second
55.50.5
53.453.9
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
red by 12.8
42.81.1
42.541.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Third
9994
#23
22.30.7
11.412.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
red by 9.3
13.01.1
13.712.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned