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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4089010015020050146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+74
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +60
7Coral scored#18
26Coral points66
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
34Total teleop94
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
6Foul points6
50Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5849
#18
17.30.7
16.816.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 37.3
54.64.2
42.846.9
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
Second
9991
#11
13.91.1
13.512.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
blue by 15.8
9635
#19
29.72.9
26.028.8
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
Third
7002
#26
12.10.7
13.412.7
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 9.2
8015
#21
21.32.9
16.719.6
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned