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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613305015020025010284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
80Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
102Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.7
62.963.6
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
red by 3.3
59.12.1
63.061.0
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
9994
#23
22.31.1
15.816.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
blue by 23.3
6766
#10
45.72.1
34.432.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
Third
13.00.9
8.59.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
red by 0.9
7002
#26
12.12.8
14.611.9
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed