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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989560801201401609691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points41
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
68Total teleop55
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points6
96Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.4
56.256.6
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
red by 8.7
6940
#16
47.40.4
56.355.9
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
Second
8810
#12
43.40.6
22.923.5
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
red by 7.3
9992
#17
36.10.7
25.725.0
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Third
6433
#20
14.60.5
4.75.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
7047
#22
16.10.5
9.18.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed