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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1218805015020025030011091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
27Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
79Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#2
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
110Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.00.1
57.457.6
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 3.6
59.30.9
47.546.6
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
9635
#19
29.70.1
36.036.1
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
blue by 11.6
8011
#13
41.20.9
32.231.3
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
Third
5849
#18
17.30.2
11.912.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 3.4
9991
#11
13.91.5
15.914.4
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed