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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12614410020025013364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+49Teleop
+63Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +46
17Coral scored#7
62Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
86Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
8Foul points2
133Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10479
#14Sur
59.10.2
61.060.7
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
blue by 3.3
6941
#7Sur
62.55.5
63.658.1
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
Second
42.80.2
41.641.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
blue by 14.0
56.85.5
50.745.2
Auto11.6
Teleop38.5
End6.7
Third
9994
#23
22.30.4
16.916.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
red by 1.0
8015
#21
21.35.5
19.213.7
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed