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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79152050100200250117133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave6
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points35
33Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +4
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
80Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#4
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
2Foul points2
117Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#5Sur
64.71.7
61.062.6
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
red by 8.6
56.11.1
56.655.6
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Second
7047
#22
16.12.0
8.610.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3
blue by 39.5
10523
#9Sur
55.51.1
54.753.6
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
Third
13.02.0
9.411.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 41.7
54.61.8
24.622.8
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned