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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012150100200250152165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
23Coral scored#21
83Coral points76
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
111Total teleop114
Reef
13L4#10
8L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points2
152Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.70.5
64.264.7
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
red by 5.4
59.31.2
55.056.2
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
6766
#10
45.70.5
45.145.7
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
red by 2.3
8810
#12
43.41.2
39.140.2
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
6494
#24
19.40.5
18.819.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8
blue by 2.9
9994
#23
22.31.4
17.118.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2