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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813305010015020025030035016890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+72Teleop
+82Endgame
+78Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +72
27Coral scored#9
96Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
124Total teleop52
Reef
14L4#5
5L3#4
9L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points4
168Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.1
58.859.9
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 3.8
59.10.8
59.859.1
Auto14.6
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
54.61.3
49.550.9
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 11.9
42.80.8
43.542.7
Auto8.7
Teleop28.0
End6.1
Third
6433
#20
14.61.1
10.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 1.5
7047
#22
16.10.8
16.816.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End0.3