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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11813950100150200250109129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+52
Endgame+40
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +31
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +20
30Foul points10
109Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.7
56.255.5
Auto10.4
Teleop37.7
End7.4
blue by 9.1
64.70.2
64.464.2
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
9635
#19
29.70.7
30.329.7
Auto5.4
Teleop22.2
End2.1
blue by 16.0
6766
#10
45.70.2
45.345.1
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
Third
8015
#21
21.30.7
22.021.3
Auto6.2
Teleop12.7
End2.4
red by 2.0
6494
#24
19.40.2
19.118.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8