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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13211650100150200133185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+44
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
21Coral scored#24
77Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
103Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#12
5L3#8
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points8
133Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.10.3
55.856.1
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
blue by 3.2
59.31.6
53.555.0
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
9992
#17
36.10.3
35.836.1
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
blue by 7.3
8810
#12
43.41.6
37.539.1
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
5515
#15
30.00.3
29.730.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3
red by 7.6
9994
#23
22.31.9
15.117.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2