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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115128050100150200250162156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points41
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points62
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
6Processor points24
20Net points12
26Algae points36
109Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#5
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
162Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.01.0
57.758.8
Auto18.4
Teleop41.1
End3.5
red by 6.8
56.10.8
55.055.8
Auto19.3
Teleop31.8
End5.1
Second
54.61.3
48.349.5
Auto6.0
Teleop40.1
End8.4
red by 18.6
9992
#17
36.11.0
34.735.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End1.1
Third
6433
#20
14.61.0
9.410.4
Auto4.4
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 15.4
5515
#15
30.00.8
28.929.7
Auto6.6
Teleop20.0
End3.3