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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541145010020025078129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+43
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
56Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +51
4Foul points12
78Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.51.4
63.862.5
Auto14.5
Teleop42.9
End5.0
red by 3.1
59.30.3
53.253.5
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End5.4
Second
56.81.4
58.256.8
Auto11.6
Teleop38.5
End6.7
red by 13.4
8810
#12
43.40.3
37.337.5
Auto5.4
Teleop31.1
End7.0
Third
7002
#26
12.11.4
13.512.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.9
blue by 10.2
9994
#23
22.30.3
14.815.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2