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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813950150200250100132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+40
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
63Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#30
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
100Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6940
#16
47.40.1
47.447.4
Auto13.8
Teleop27.4
End6.2
blue by 17.3
64.70.1
64.364.4
Auto21.1
Teleop42.3
End1.4
Second
8011
#13
41.20.1
41.341.2
Auto6.8
Teleop29.2
End5.3
blue by 4.4
6766
#10
45.70.1
45.345.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.1
End0.9
Third
9991
#11
13.90.1
14.013.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.4
End5.5
blue by 5.5
6494
#24
19.40.1
19.019.1
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End0.8